Coastal Car.
W-L: ( 3- 5) PR = 79.1070Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 905 A We. Virginia ( 5- 3, 85.6) 24- 31 912 H Fordham 45- 7 919 A Delaware ( 4- 4, 80.7) 14- 22 924 H Liberty ( 7- 1, 93.1) 17- 34 1003 H Georgia So. ( 3- 4, 83.6) 17- 31 1010 A Marshall ( 5- 3, 80.3) 27- 21 1016 H App State ( 5- 2, 79.6) 32- 35 1031 A Georgia St ( 4- 4, 79.3) 31- 20 1107 H Old Dominion ( 2- 7, 73.6) 1114 H Arkansas St ( 4- 4, 79.5) 1121 A Louisiana ( 5- 4, 83.5) 1128 A J. Madison ( 7- 2, 88.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
905 A We. Virginia 24-31 -7 -10 + 2.73
919 A Delaware 14-22 -8 -5 - -3.26
924 H Liberty 17-34 -17 -11 -- -4.21
1003 H Georgia So. 17-31 -14 -1 --- -12.74
1010 A Marshall 27-21 6 -4 +++ 10.34
1016 H App State 32-35 -3 3 -- -5.74
1031 A Georgia St 31-20 11 -3 +++ 14.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1003 H Georgia So. 17-31 -14 -1 --- -12.74 924 H Liberty 17-34 -17 -11 -- -4.21 1016 H App State 32-35 -3 3 -- -5.74 919 A Delaware 14-22 -8 -5 - -3.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A Marshall 27-21 6 -4 +++ 10.34 1031 A Georgia St 31-20 11 -3 +++ 14.40 905 A We. Virginia 24-31 -7 -10 + 2.73 |
Coastal Car. Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Boston Col | Boston Col | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| No. Carolina | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| NC State | NC State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | NC State | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Va. Tech | Va. Tech | Va. Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Coastal Car. | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Coastal Car. | |
| Ea. Carolina | Ea. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea. Carolina | |
| Fl. Atlantic | Fl. Atlantic | Fl. Atlantic | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No. Texas | No. Texas | No. Texas | ||
| Rice | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| So. Florida | So. Florida | So. Florida | ||
| Temple | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | ||
| UAB | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Houston | |
| Iowa State | Iowa State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Iowa State | |
| Kansas | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oklahoma St | |
| TCU | TCU | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UCF | |
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We. Virginia | We. Virginia | We. Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Int | Florida Int | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida Int | |
| J'ville St | J'ville St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | J'ville St | |
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Kennesaw St | |
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| La. Tech | La. Tech | La. Tech | ||
| Mid. Tenn. | Mid. Tenn. | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mid. Tenn. | |
| N. Mexico St | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Sam Houston | Coastal Car. | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Coastal Car. | |
| UTEP | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| We. Kentucky | Coastal Car. | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Coastal Car. | |
| Mass. | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Ball State | Coastal Car. | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Coastal Car. | |
| Bowl'g Green | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Ce. Michigan | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Ea. Michigan | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Kent St | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | ||
| No. Illinois | Coastal Car. | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Coastal Car. | |
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We. Michigan | We. Michigan | We. Michigan | ||
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | ||
| Colorado St | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawai'i | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| San Jose St | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | ||
| Wash. St | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| App State | App State | App State | ||
| Arkansas St | Arkansas St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arkansas St | |
| Georgia So. | Georgia So. | Georgia So. | ||
| Georgia St | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| J. Madison | J. Madison | J. Madison 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Old Dominion | Coastal Car. | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Coastal Car. | |
| So. Miss | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| So. Alabama | So. Alabama | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | So. Alabama | |
| Texas St. | Texas St. | Texas St. | ||
| Troy | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| UL Monroe | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Missouri St | Coastal Car. | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Coastal Car. |
PowerWise = 31
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A We. Virginia ( 5- 3, 85.6) 24-31 -14.26 18.98 3.20 1.16 -6.44
1 A Delaware ( 4- 4, 80.7) 14-22 -19.25 13.99 3.20 1.16 -9.34
1 H Liberty ( 7- 1, 93.1) 17-34 -6.81 26.43 -3.20 1.16 -5.82
1 H Georgia So. ( 3- 4, 83.6) 17-31 -16.34 16.90 -3.20 1.16 -11.37
1 A Marshall ( 5- 3, 80.3) 27-21 -19.65 13.59 3.20 1.16 39.08
1 H App State ( 5- 2, 79.6) 32-35 -20.34 12.90 -3.20 1.16 -13.70
1 A Georgia St ( 4- 4, 79.3) 31-20 -20.59 12.65 3.20 1.16 36.88
------
29.30
|
winning pts = 75.9673 losing points = -46.6671
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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